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Calculator: Mortality Probability Admission Model (MPM0-III) for critical illness in adults


Calculator: Mortality Probability Admission Model (MPM0-III) for critical illness in adults

 
Input
 
Age  

Coma or stupor with Glasgow Coma Score of 3 or 4 (2.050514)

Heart rate ≥150/min (0.433188)

Systolic blood pressure ≤90 mmHg (1.451005)

Chronic renal insufficiency (0.5395209)

Cirrhosis (2.070695)

Metastatic cancer (3.204902)

Acute renal failure (0.8412274)

Cardiac arrhythmia (0.8219612)

Cerebrovascular accident (0.4107686)

Gastrointestinal bleeding (-0.165253)

Intracranial mass effect (1.855276)

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation before admission (1.497258)

Mechanical ventilation employed within the first hour of admission (0.821648)

Medical or unscheduled surgical admission (0.9097936)

Full code (-0.7969783)

 
Results
 
Important: Inputs must be complete to perform calculation.

 
 
Terms 1  
Terms 2  
Mortality probability  
 
Decimal precision  

 
 

 
Notes
  • The MPM0-III predicts outcome in the critically ill population as a whole and does not predict mortality for a single individual.
  • If risk factors, other than age and code status, are all absent, then -0.4243604 is used as the value of Terms 1.
  • The coefficients in parentheses are the logarithms of the odds ratios for each risk factor.

 
Equations used
 
Terms 1 = Coma + HR + SBP + CRI + Cirr + Mets + ARF + Arr + CVA + GIB + IME + CPR + Vent + Med
Terms 2 = Terms 1 + (Age * 0.0385582) + Full - ((Coma > 0) * Age * 0.0075284) - ((SBP > 0) * Age * 0.0085197) - ((Cirr > 0) * Age * 0.022433) - ((Mets > 0) * Age * 0.0330237) - ((Arr > 0) * Age * 0.0101286) - ((IME > 0) * Age * 0.0169215) - ((CPR > 0) * Age * 0.011214) - 5.36283
Mortality_probability = 100 * e(Terms 2) / (1 + e(Terms 2))

 

 
Only digits 0 to 9 and a single decimal point (".") are acceptable as numeric inputs. Attempted input of other characters into a numeric field may lead to an incorrect result.

Information on this page may not appear correctly if printed.

Legal Notices and Disclaimer

All information contained in and produced by the EBMcalc system is provided for educational purposes only. This information should not be used for the diagnosis or treatment of any health problem or disease. THIS INFORMATION IS NOT INTENDED TO REPLACE CLINICAL JUDGMENT OR GUIDE INDIVIDUAL PATIENT CARE IN ANY MANNER. Click here for full notice and disclaimer.

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