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Prognosis of cancer patients in the intensive care unit

Prognosis of cancer patients in the intensive care unit
Literature review current through: Jan 2024.
This topic last updated: Oct 31, 2023.

INTRODUCTION — Intensive care unit (ICU) admission may be required in patients with cancer for management of acute illnesses associated with the underlying malignancy or complications of therapy including those associated with hematopoietic cell transplantation.

Admission to an ICU is a traumatic event for cancer patients and their families. Discussion of the prognosis of cancer patients in the setting of a critical illness is a key factor for making clinical decisions in the ICU. The prognosis of critically ill patients with cancer and factors that determine their mortality are discussed in this topic.

The prognosis of critically ill patients without cancer who have respiratory failure, renal failure and sepsis are discussed separately. (See "Acute respiratory distress syndrome: Prognosis and outcomes in adults" and "Prevention and management of acute kidney injury (acute renal failure) in children", section on 'Prognosis and outcome of acute kidney injury' and "Sepsis syndromes in adults: Epidemiology, definitions, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and prognosis".)

INDICATIONS FOR ADMISSION — Patients with malignancy are at risk for acute life-threatening illnesses that require ICU admission. Leukemia and lymphoma are the most common hematologic cancers encountered in the ICU and lung cancer is the most common solid tumor in adults [1]. In addition, as many as 40 percent of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients develop one or more complications where transfer to an ICU is indicated [2-5].

Indications for ICU admission can be cancer-related (eg, critical organ infiltration, pulmonary embolus), treatment-related (eg, sepsis or drug toxicity) or due to co-morbid illnesses (eg, kidney disease, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD] exacerbation). However, consistently, the most common reason for ICU admission in cancer patients is acute organ failure, usually one or more of the following [2-4,6-23]:

Respiratory failure requiring ventilation

Renal failure requiring renal replacement therapy

Septic shock with cardiovascular failure requiring vasopressor support

Other common reasons for ICU care include pulmonary edema, electrolyte disturbances, neurologic impairment, acute airway obstruction, massive hemoptysis, adverse reactions to medication or blood products, and the need for postoperative observation.

Among patients who have received an allogeneic HCT, up to 13 percent require ICU admission and 30 percent of those admitted require mechanical ventilation, usually within 60 days of marrow infusion [12,24-28]. Additional indications for ICU admission in this population include mucositis, acute graft-versus-host disease, diffuse alveolar hemorrhage, cardiac dysfunction, hypertension, and veno-occlusive disease of the liver [11,25,27]. (See "Pulmonary complications after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation: Causes" and "Pulmonary complications after autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

OVERALL PROGNOSIS — Survival of critically ill patients with cancer varies with the population (children, adult, solid and hematologic malignancy, hematopoietic cell transplantation recipients) and the type of outcome (short versus long term survival) that is studied [2,4,6-24,29-42]. In addition, temporal changes in ICU mortality and differences in practices among centers may also contribute to variability in survival. However, consistent among studies is that the outcome is best determined by the nature and number of organ failures, rather than by the stage of the underlying malignancy.

PROGNOSIS IN ADULTS — A consistent trend toward ICU mortality rates close to those observed in the general population of critically ill adult patients (30 to 65 percent) has been reported [5-7,10,17-23,29,31-33,38,40,43,44]. This was best demonstrated in the largest study of a mixed population of critically ill patients with cancer that reported hospital-, 3-month, and 1-year mortality rates of 39, 47, and 57 percent, respectively [23]. The highest rates were in patients who were mechanically ventilated, on vasopressor support, or receiving renal replacement therapy (approximately 60 percent each). Mortality in critically ill patients with specific types of cancer and predictors of mortality are discussed in detail separately. (See 'Special populations' below and 'Predictors of prognosis' below.)

Similar to that reported in the general population, the highest mortality rates in oncologic patients are observed in those mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure and in those with greater than two-organ failure (see 'Predictors of prognosis' below):

Adult oncology patients transferred to an ICU who do not require mechanical ventilation have approximately a 25 percent likelihood of dying before leaving the hospital, which is comparable to some ICU patients without cancer [2,8,9,37]. Regardless of the indication for intubation, once patients are mechanically ventilated, risk of death rises further, and is typically >25 percent.

Adult oncology patients who require mechanical ventilation for acute respiratory failure experience an ICU mortality >40 percent that increases to >60 percent when respiratory failure is due to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) [8,15,23,24,40,43-48]. Rates are even higher, 70 to 100 percent, in hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients with ARDS. Few adult oncology patients survive to discharge if mechanical ventilation is prolonged (typically >14 days) [9,13,14,38,49-51].

Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome portends the worst prognosis. Mortality in adults is typically >60 percent when two or more organs fail and approaches 100 percent when four or more organs fail [13,33,37,38,52-54]. Common organ failures, other than respiratory failure, that predict mortality in critically ill adults and children with cancer are renal failure, septic shock, and, less commonly, hepatic failure.

Rates of death (ICU and hospital) due to sepsis in critically ill adult patients with cancer range from 28 to 60 percent [17,20,21,55]. Subgroup analysis in one large observational cohort series (Sepsis Occurrence of Acutely Ill Patients study [SOAP]) reported similar mortality in patients with and without cancer (27 versus 23 percent) [36]. Another eight-year retrospective observational study of adult cancer patients with septic shock reported a temporal reduction in 28 day mortality from 47 percent (1998 through 2001) to 28 percent (2002 through 2005), suggesting that sepsis-related mortality in critically ill patients with cancer approaches that reported in the general population [20]. Although unproven, improvements in the early recognition and supportive care of patients with sepsis may be responsible for this trend [17,55]. (See 'Sepsis' below.)

Special populations — Prognosis in critically ill adult patients with cancer varies with the population that is studied. In general, compared to patients with solid and hematologic malignancies, adults with HCT recipients, especially those that underwent non-allogeneic (autologous) transplants, have a higher short term (ICU and hospital) and long term (>3 months) mortality. In adult populations, the highest mortality rates are reported in patients who are mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure. Mortality from critical illness in adult and pediatric patients with solid and hematologic malignancy, and in patients with HCT is discussed in this section.

Solid and hematologic malignancy — For adult patients with solid and hematologic malignancies, short term mortality, defined as ICU and hospital mortality, is best determined by the nature and number of organ failures, rather than by the stage of malignancy or complications due to therapy (eg, neutropenia). Small observational cohort studies of this population report ICU and hospital mortality rates that range from 22 to 74 percent, which approximates that of critically ill patients in the general population [6,8-10,22,33,56-60]. (See "Acute respiratory distress syndrome: Prognosis and outcomes in adults".)

Two observational cohort studies that followed a total of 137 patients admitted to the ICU due to newly diagnosed, untreated cancer reported ICU and hospital mortality rates of 48 and 60 percent, respectively [6,22]. Rates were highest in patients with respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, a need for pressors, and hepatic failure [6]. (See 'Predictors of prognosis' below.)

A 5-year cohort study of patients with hematological malignancies who were treated in a cancer hospital reported ICU, in-hospital, and 6-month mortalities of 34, 46, and 59 percent, respectively [33].

Among patients admitted to ICU due to complications of their therapy, respiratory failure is the most common indication for admission with reported ICU mortality of approximately 50 percent [9,10]. In one prospective study of 717 cancer patients who had begun treatment, the following factors were associated with increased mortality: mechanical ventilation, prolonged hospitalization prior to ICU admission, a high Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, poor performance status, and recurring or progressing malignancy [7]. (See 'Predictors of prognosis' below.)

Retrospective data in critically ill patients with lung cancer (ventilated and nonventilated) suggest an ICU mortality ranging from 22 to 43 percent, with higher rates in those for whom mechanical ventilation was required (38 to 74 percent) [18,30,31].

A retrospective study of 185 patients with ARDS and hematologic malignancies reported an overall ICU mortality of 57 percent, lower for patients with mild ARDS (50 percent) and higher for those with severe ARDS (67 percent) [61].

Studies that document outcomes in adult patients with solid and hematologic malignancies that survive ICU or hospital admission suggested a three-month mortality rate of 49 percent, with rates that appear to be influenced by factors such as malignancy type and need for mechanical ventilation [6,22,34].

One single center prospective study of 483 patients compared mortality rates among cancer patients that survived an ICU admission [34]. Compared to patients with solid malignancy, higher mortality was observed in patients with hematologic malignancy at three months (42 versus 17 percent) and one year (66 versus 36 percent).

Another retrospective study of 37 critically ill patients with hematologic malignancy that received intravenous chemotherapy in the ICU reported that, compared to nonventilated patients, patients who were mechanically ventilated had higher rates of death at six months (74 versus 54 percent) [22].

In a retrospective study of 105 critically ill patients with lung cancer, the six-month mortality was reported to be 74 percent with the highest risk of death observed in those with progressive cancer and those who required mechanical ventilation [35].

Studies of patients discharged from the ICU suggest variable quality of life (QOL) in survivors. One study suggested QOL was poor in survivors at three months and worse for those with older age, comorbidities and hematologic malignancy [34]; another study suggested no difference between QOL in survivors compared to the cancer population in general [23].

Hematopoietic cell transplant — As with general oncology patients, ICU and hospital mortality in adult HCT recipients is determined by the nature and number of organ failures. Although reports of mortality in this population are often hampered by varying criteria among institutions for admission, mortality is typically high, particularly in those who undergo mechanical ventilation for respiratory failure (44 to 100 percent).

HCT recipients who are admitted to the ICU but do not undergo mechanical ventilation have a hospital mortality rate ranging from 4 to 34 percent [2,3,62]. Examples of patients that are more likely to survive ICU admission in this category include patients with pulmonary edema, arrhythmias, and patients who require postsurgical observation.

For HCT recipients who require mechanical ventilation, the hospital mortality rate ranges from 44 to 100 percent.

The largest 12-year (1980 to 1992) observational series of 865 patients (adult and children) who required mechanical ventilation after HCT reported a 30-day mortality of 94 percent [25]. Patients who were ventilated for less than 24 hours were excluded from the analysis, suggesting that prolonged mechanical ventilation is associated with poor outcome in this population. However, similar to the improved trends in ICU mortality observed in the general population, a trend toward improved survival of 16 percent was reported during the last five years of this study (1988 to 1992), suggesting that the prognosis is not as poor as originally thought.

Other smaller retrospective studies of mechanically ventilated adult HCT recipients that did not exclude patients intubated for short periods reported overall ICU and hospital mortality rates that range from 44 to 100 percent [2-4,12,25-27,62-72]. For example, in one study of 232 HCT recipients, 27 percent of all patients survived an initial episode of ventilatory support [63]. In another study of allogeneic HCT recipients, the overall ICU mortality was reported as 50 percent but was >80 percent in those who were mechanically ventilated [68].

Several studies published since 1996 suggest that overall as a group, HCT recipients may have a better prognosis than originally reported. As an example, several retrospective studies in this population reported ICU mortality rates of 70 to 77 percent, and in-hospital mortality rates of 50 to 83 percent [64,65,67,71].

A retrospective analysis of 144 older patients who underwent allogeneic HCT suggested better ICU survival for patients who underwent a reduced-intensity conditioning regimen compared to those treated with myeloablative conditioning [73]. For patients surviving ICU admission, survival was 61 and 51 percent at 1 and 5 years, respectively.

There is a paucity of data reporting survival following hospital discharge in this population. Observational series suggest that the six-month survival for adult HCT patients with respiratory failure ranges from 3 to 20 percent but may be better in those not admitted for mechanical ventilation (27 percent) [12,26,27,67-70].

The approach to patients with common problems that complicate HCT are discussed separately. (See "Overview of infections following hematopoietic cell transplantation" and "Early complications of hematopoietic cell transplantation" and "Long-term care of the adult hematopoietic cell transplantation survivor" and "Kidney disease following hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

Predictors of prognosis — Prognosis in critically ill adult patients with cancer, including HCT recipients, is dictated by the etiology of the critical illness rather than by the prognosis from the underlying malignancy [8,14,47,49,74-77]. The major predictors of poor prognosis in this population are respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (especially for acute respiratory distress syndrome), multiorgan failure (>2 organs), and the need for vasopressor support (>4 hours). In this section we discuss these among other factors that predict prognosis in association with indications for ICU admission that are commonly encountered in this population.

Respiratory failure

General — In critically ill adult patients with cancer and in HCT recipients, the need for mechanical ventilation for respiratory failure is the most consistent predictor of poor prognosis and is typically associated with mortality >40 percent [6,7,10,22,25,33,48,59,60,62,65-67,71,72,78,79]. Among patients with solid and hematologic malignancy, studies have reported a two- to ninefold increase in the risk of death associated with mechanical ventilation with the highest risk observed in those receiving intravenous chemotherapy in the ICU [6,7,22,35]. In HCT recipients, several studies reported high mortality (≥50 percent) in those who required mechanical ventilation for respiratory failure [26,39,46,65,67,70,71,73,80]; some studies reported a three- to fourfold increase in the risk of death in association with mechanical ventilation [68,71].

Factors that may contribute to the variable mortality rates include differences in indication for intubation (eg, postoperative observation, pneumonia, ARDS), the nature of the underlying malignancy, and in admission criteria and practices among different ICUs (eg, early versus delayed admission). Nonetheless, several common factors may worsen the prognosis for cancer patients who develop respiratory failure. These include:

Severe hypoxemia prior to mechanical ventilation (arterial oxygen tension [PaO2] <50 mmHg on room air), or a PaO2/fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) ratio <150 on mechanical ventilation, predicts a mortality of approximately 70 to 100 percent regardless of the cause of respiratory failure [81-83].

Mechanical ventilation for poorly reversible etiologies, such as ARDS, may be associated with a worse outcome than mechanical ventilation for acutely reversible etiologies (eg, pulmonary edema, pneumothorax, airway protection, postoperative observation) [1,9,13,24,43,47,84]. Additional examples of poorly reversible etiologies include lymphangitic carcinomatosis, extensive inoperable airway tumors, and disseminated mucormycosis.

Prolonged mechanical ventilation has been shown in many studies to be associated with poor outcome in critically ill patients with cancer and HCT recipients [1,14,38,51]. As an example, in one retrospective study of adult patients with inoperable lung cancer who required mechanical ventilation, 91 percent died in the ICU, and mortality was 100 percent for those who remained ventilator-dependent longer than six days [51].

Mechanical ventilation in adult patients with underlying abnormal pulmonary function (eg, restrictive lung disease, emphysema in association with lung cancer) is associated with a high rate of death due to respiratory failure, particularly in HCT recipients [31,46,85-88].

Mode of mechanical ventilation — Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) is often attempted as an alternative to endotracheal intubation for patients with or without cancer who develop respiratory distress [45,89]. The indications for NIV in patients with cancer should be the same as for patients without cancer. Small retrospective observational studies in oncologic patients suggest that those who are successfully ventilated with NIV have a better prognosis than those who require conventional intubation and mechanical ventilation, although that may be a reflection of patients who are "less sick" than those requiring invasive MV rather than a causal link [45,48,90,91]. (See "Noninvasive ventilation in adults with acute respiratory failure: Benefits and contraindications".)

In one retrospective study of 237 adult patients with cancer, 80 percent of patients received conventional mechanical ventilation for acute respiratory failure at presentation; the remaining 20 percent received NIV [90]. When the groups were matched for age and disease severity, patients who received NIV had a lower mortality (44 versus 71 percent; odds ratio [OR] 0.31, 95% CI 0.12-0.82), suggesting that a small number of patients with cancer may benefit from this mode of ventilation.

A prospective observational study of 203 adult patients with cancer reported lower mortality rates in patients receiving NIV compared to those that were intubated for acute respiratory failure (48 versus 75 percent) [45]. In addition, the late application (>48 hours after admission) or failure of NIV predicted poor prognosis in this population (OR 11, 95% CI 1.1-108 and OR 18, 95% CI 5-61, respectively).

The impact of other modes of mechanical ventilation on outcome due to respiratory failure in patients with malignancy is poorly studied. One small retrospective review of 150 pediatric hematopoietic cell transplantation recipients reported higher ICU mortality in patients receiving high frequency oscillatory ventilation (HFOV) [53]. Although no studies have reported similar outcomes in critically ill adults with cancer, HFOV has been shown to be potentially harmful as a first-line mode of mechanical ventilation in a general population of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome [92]. (See "High-frequency ventilation in adults".)

Predisposing factors for respiratory failure — Several risk factors for the development of respiratory failure have been identified in adult patients prior to HCT. The presence of these factors place patients at risk for ICU admission and poor outcome after transplant.

Abnormal pulmonary function – Abnormalities in pulmonary function, prior to transplant are predictors of non-relapse mortality in HCT recipients [46,80,85]. Approximately one-third of this population have abnormal pulmonary function (usually restriction) prior to transplant and higher rates have been reported in those undergoing allogeneic HCT [80,85]. In both adult and pediatric patients, abnormal pulmonary function (eg, restrictive lung disease) pretransplant has been shown to be a predisposing factor for the development of respiratory failure and death [46,85]. (See "Long-term care of the adult hematopoietic cell transplantation survivor" and "Determining eligibility for allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation" and "Determining eligibility for autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

Donor-recipient mismatch – Large retrospective cohorts of over 1000 adult HCT recipients have reported that incomplete match between donor and recipient HLA type is an independent predictor of respiratory failure [26,63]. (See "Donor selection for hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

Transplant type – Conflicting data exists regarding mortality in critically ill patients following allogeneic versus autologous HCT. Some observational studies suggest improved survival in critically ill patients with autologous HCT [26,62,67]; others report no impact of transplant type on mortality [2,3,39,65]. One retrospective analysis of 164 critically ill patients that received an allogeneic HCT suggested improved ICU mortality rates in those who had a reduced intensity conditioning (preparative) regimen compared to those who underwent a conventional myeloablative conditioning (24 versus 73 percent; OR 2.9) [73]. (See "Preparative regimens for hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

Graft-versus-host-disease – Patients who undergo allogeneic HCT are at risk of developing acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), a complication that is associated with worse prognosis overall. Although HCT recipients with GVHD are at risk of developing respiratory failure, its occurrence does not appear to consistently predict ICU prognosis [2,33,39,46].

Other – Additional risk factors for respiratory failure or mechanical ventilation in HCT recipients include older age and active malignancy at the time of transplantation, baseline serum creatinine >1.5 mg/dL, and baseline serum total bilirubin concentration >1.4 mg/dL [26,46].

The pulmonary complications following HCT are discussed separately. (See "Pulmonary complications after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation: Causes" and "Pulmonary complications after autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation".)

Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome

General — Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in the ICU portends a poor prognosis, regardless of the population studied. Mortality in adults is typically >60 percent when two or more organs fail and approaches 100 percent when four or more organs fail [13,33,37,38,52-54]. Among studies of critically ill oncology patients, independent of one another, the occurrence of the following organ failures consistently predict mortality [18,23,36,47,62,64,67,68,72,78]:

Respiratory failure

Renal failure

Need for vasopressors (>4 hours)

Hepatic failure

Best illustrating the impact of organ failure on mortality in this population of critically ill patients are the following studies:

One prospective multicenter study of a mixed population of adult critically ill patients with cancer reported that mortality in patients receiving vasoactive drugs or dialysis approximated that of patients with respiratory failure alone (58 and 59 versus 61 percent) [23].

A prospective observational study of 100 adult patients with solid and hematologic malignancies reported the best predictors of mortality were need for vasopressors (odds ratio [OR] 6.01, 95% CI 1.86-19.4) and the presence of hepatic failure (OR 7.76, 95% CI 1.25-48.27) [6].

A retrospective study of 124 critically ill adult patients with hematologic malignancy identified the following variables that were independently associated with death in the ICU: vasopressor requirement (OR 3.74, 95% CI 1.4-9.8) and urea >0.75 g/L (this translates to a blood urea nitrogen [BUN] level of >34 mg/dL; OR 9.4, 95% CI 4.2-26). The highest mortality was reported in patients who had leukopenia together with a need for pressor support and high urea (96 percent at 30 days) [19].

In a retrospective analysis of 139 adults with lung cancer, two independent predictors of death in the ICU were the need for vasopressors (OR 8.7, 95% CI 2.8-27) and two or more organ failures (OR 41, 95% CI 5.1-328) [31].

A 12-year retrospective study of 3635 adult and pediatric HCT recipients reported no survival in the 398 patients with respiratory failure who also had liver failure (total bilirubin >4 mg/dL) and renal insufficiency (serum creatinine concentration >2.0 mg/dL) [25]. Smaller studies have confirmed the adverse effect of combined hepatic and renal dysfunction on survival in this population [44,67].

Scoring systems — Scoring systems can predict clinically meaningful outcome for adult ICU patients and are most often used for investigational purposes. The most commonly cited scoring systems are the Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE I–IV) score (calculator 1), the Simplified Acute physiology SCORE (SAPS), and the SOFA score. Although higher APACHE III and SAPS II scores on admission correlate with mortality in some studies, others suggest that they are less reliable in patients with cancer or hematopoietic cell transplantation recipients [2,3,12,25,26,31,33,64,93,94]. In contrast, a small number of studies of patients with solid and hematologic malignancies reported that increased risk of death was associated with a higher SOFA score (OR, 1.25, 95% CI 1.17-1.34), and the less commonly used logistic organ dysfunction score (hazard ratio 1.19, 95% CI 1.08-1.32) [7,21,30,48,72,86]. (See "Predictive scoring systems in the intensive care unit".)

Sepsis — Patients with cancer, particularly those on immunosuppressive therapy and HCT recipients, are at increased risk for acquiring sepsis as well as dying from sepsis with reported rates of ICU and hospital mortality ranging from 28 to 60 percent [17,20,21,55,95-97]. Several studies in this population reported a lower risk of death when patients were admitted earlier for ICU care and antibiotics were administered within two hours of the diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] 0.24, 95% CI 0.06-0.09) [17,55]. (See "Sepsis syndromes in adults: Epidemiology, definitions, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and prognosis".)

Consistent predictors of poor outcome associated with sepsis (in addition to those listed in this section) in adult patients with cancer include the following [21,23,33,36,97]:

Multiple organ failure – In one large observational cohort series, among patients with sepsis who had multiple organ failure (>3 organs), higher mortality was observed in patients with cancer compared to those without cancer (75 versus 50 percent) [36]. In another retrospective study of 186 patients with cancer admitted to the ICU with sepsis, higher SOFA score was identified as an independent predictor of death at 28 days (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.14-1.39) [21]. (See 'General' above.)

Pulmonary site of infection – In a multicenter study of 218 patients with cancer admitted to the ICU with septic shock of pulmonary origin, rates of ICU and hospital mortality were 56 and 62 percent, respectively [55]. Sepsis due to pulmonary infection was identified in another retrospective study as an independent predictor of death at 28 days (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.4-7.6) [21].

Fungal infection – Fungal sepsis, particularly invasive aspergillosis, in critically ill patients with cancer has particularly high rates of mortality (up to 80 percent) and is independent predictor of death (OR 2.4 to 4.0) [21,23,33].

Other predictors include elevated lactate levels [60] and polymicrobial infections and carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria in patients with hematologic malignancies [61,97].

Although it might be expected that in patients with cancer who have sepsis, leukopenia would portend a poor prognosis, conflicting studies report variable outcomes in this population [1,13,14,19,21,47]. Although deterioration in oxygenation during leukopenic recovery may partially explain this conflict, evidence from retrospective studies suggests that it may be due to the duration of leukopenia such that when sepsis occurs in the setting of acute leukopenia that is transient, it is associated with reasonable outcomes; in contrast, when leukopenia is persistent or occurs in the setting of concomitant organ failure it is more likely to be associated with a poor outcome [13,14,19,21,98]. Best illustrating this are the following studies:

One retrospective observational study of 186 patients with hematologic malignancies admitted to the ICU with sepsis compared patients who had received recent chemotherapy (within three weeks of ICU admission) to those who had received chemotherapy beyond three weeks of admission [21]. Patients with recent chemotherapy were more likely to be neutropenic. However, they were less likely to have pulmonary infiltrates or require mechanical ventilation. In addition, compared to those who had received therapy beyond three weeks of admission, those with recent therapy had lower ICU (33 versus 48 percent), hospital (45 versus 59 percent), and six-month (51 versus 63 percent) mortality rates.

One retrospective observational study of 124 patients with hematologic malignancies admitted to the ICU (19 percent had sepsis), persistent leukopenia was identified as an independent predictor of death (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.1-7.7) [19]. When leukopenia was added as variable for survival analysis in patients who also had renal insufficiency and a vasopressor requirement, mortality increased from 25 to >65 percent.

The treatment and prognosis of sepsis and septic shock in patients without cancer, and the treatment of neutropenic fever syndromes in patients with cancer and HCT recipients are discussed separately. (See "Sepsis syndromes in adults: Epidemiology, definitions, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and prognosis" and "Evaluation and management of suspected sepsis and septic shock in adults" and "Treatment and prevention of neutropenic fever syndromes in adult cancer patients at low risk for complications" and "Treatment of neutropenic fever syndromes in adults with hematologic malignancies and hematopoietic cell transplant recipients (high-risk patients)".)

Other — Additional factors that have been less well validated as predictors of mortality in critically ill adult patients with cancer include patient-, disease- and procedure-related factors. Among these factors, poor performance status prior to ICU admission and refractory cancer are consistently reported in studies as predictors of worse survival. Survival does not appear to be affected by malignancy type, indication for HCT, need for blood transfusions, or use of a flow-directed balloon-tipped pulmonary artery catheter (Swan-Ganz catheter) [2,3,12,15,42,93].

Patient-related — Poor performance status (eg, Karnofsky score <70) (table 1), Charlson comorbidity index of 3 to 4 (table 2), and HCT-specific comorbidity index ≥2 (table 3) are associated with poor prognosis in some studies of critically ill adult patients with cancer [7,23,32,33,35,43,45,48,59,60,64,97]. (See "Survival estimates in advanced terminal cancer".)

Disease-related — The following disease-related factors are associated with worse prognosis in the critically ill cancer adult patients: poor response to chemotherapy, stage IV cancer, cancer relapse after an initial response, progressive or recurrent disease, malignant infiltration of vital organs or the airway, poor marrow recovery post HCT, active graft-versus-host, delayed ICU or unplanned admission, and need for Advanced Cardiac life Support (ACLS) protocol [8,13,14,18,19,23,31,48,49,60,61,72,79].

Procedure-related — Diagnostic and therapeutic procedures have associated risk that can negatively impact outcomes in the ICU such that the indication for their performance needs to be justified. A single-center, retrospective study in adult HCT recipients reported a complication rate of 30 percent after fiberoptic bronchoscopy; of those complications, 5 percent were considered major [99]. Another retrospective study reported a complication rate of 19 percent for surgical lung biopsy in adult cancer patients [100]. In general, bronchoscopy with biopsy and surgical lung biopsy are considered high-risk procedures that have not been convincingly shown to favorably impact mortality in this population [99-106]. However, bronchoscopy and surgical biopsy can direct the prognosis on an individual basis, particularly when a highly reversible (pneumocystis jirovecii, small airway tumors) or irreversible (eg, extensive airway tumors) pathology is identified.

One prospective trial randomly assigned 219 non-intubated adult patients with cancer and acute respiratory failure of unclear etiology to undergo conventional testing plus bronchoscopy with bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) or conventional diagnostic testing alone [101]. Bronchoscopy with BAL did not affect the number of patients subsequently requiring mechanical ventilation (35.4 versus 38.7 percent) or mortality (30 versus 33 percent). The study was not adequately powered to assess diagnostic yield or safety of bronchoscopy in this population.

In two retrospective studies of 358 critically ill adult patients with cancer or hematopoietic cell transplantation recipients, bronchoscopic-BAL or lung biopsy (bronchoscopic-transbronchial biopsy and surgical biopsy) resulted in therapeutic changes in under half of the cases [99,102]. However, subgroup analysis in only one of these studies reported that, compared to patients without therapeutic modification, those with therapeutic modification had a lower in-hospital mortality (38 versus 58 percent; OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.28-0.92).

The lack of convincing impact of bronchoscopy and lung biopsy in this adult population on the outcome is likely due to the significant number of cases where no consequent therapeutic modification is made or cases where life-sustaining care is withdrawn due to the identification of a noncurative cause for respiratory failure. The general indications and risk for bronchoscopy and surgical biopsy in high-risk populations are discussed in detail separately. (See "Flexible bronchoscopy in adults: Indications and contraindications" and "Flexible bronchoscopy in adults: Overview" and "Overview of minimally invasive thoracic surgery".)

Discussion of prognosis — Discussions regarding prognosis should occur before or soon after ICU admission, particularly for those patients in whom the mortality is predicted to be high (eg, patients with HCT who are mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure). All patient or family meetings should discuss prognosis associated with the etiology of the acute illness in the context of life expectancy from the underlying malignancy. Clinicians should recognize that a dying patient may be ill-served by prolonged, non-palliative life support in an ICU. (See "Communication in the ICU: Holding a meeting with families and caregivers".)

Although palliative care has not been shown to impact mortality of the critically ill adult patient in the ICU, it has been shown to improve survival and quality of life in ambulatory adult patients with cancer [107]. Palliation and end-of life decisions are a common occurrence in the ICU for patients with malignancy and recipients of HCT. Prognosis should be reassessed at frequent intervals with particular attention to the development of multiple organ dysfunction. For those in whom the prognosis is predicted to be poor during their ICU admission (eg, HCT recipients with multiorgan failure), early discussion of the likely outcome with caregivers and family is essential, often prompting withdrawal of care. In addition, studies in this population consistently describe a continued decline in life expectancy once patients are discharged from the ICU. When appropriate, patients or family members should be advised that an incurable malignancy may progress throughout the duration of a critical illness such that at the point of discharge from the ICU death from their underlying cancer might be expected. For those in whom survival is predicted to be poor following discharge, early palliative and end-of-life discussions may elicit the desire to avoid re-admission and or redirect care to palliation in the event that another acute life-threatening illness arises. (See "Withholding and withdrawing ventilatory support in adults in the intensive care unit" and "Communication in the ICU: Holding a meeting with families and caregivers".)

Palliative care services are probably underutilized in the ICU and yet often prompt advance directives. In one study of adult patients with lung cancer admitted to the ICU, 64 percent with advanced stage IV disease were full code with no record of end-of-life discussions prior to admission [30]. In half of these patients, the code status was changed to a Do-Not-Resuscitate order within seven days of admission to the ICU. We and others suggest early palliative and end-of-life discussions by the intensivist, the oncologist, and/or by palliative care staff for critically ill patients with cancer admitted to the ICU, particularly those with a grim prognosis from their underlying malignancy or acute illness (eg, advanced or refractory cancer), those who do not progress toward recovery in the first several days of ICU care, and those for whom symptom palliation would improve the quality of life [108]. (See "Palliative care: Issues in the intensive care unit in adults".)

The use of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) for palliative purposes is controversial. One small study of 23 adult patients with end-stage solid malignancies reported improved oxygenation and dyspnea with the application of NIV [89]. Using non-invasive ventilation for palliation of terminal dyspnea should be individualized and discussed with each patient or their designated caregiver on a case-by-case basis. (See "Ethics in the intensive care unit: Responding to requests for potentially inappropriate therapies in adults" and "Withholding and withdrawing ventilatory support in adults in the intensive care unit".)

PROGNOSIS IN CHILDREN — Discussed below are studies that report prognosis and predicting factors in children with solid and hematologic malignancy as well as hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients.

Solid and hematologic malignancies – Few studies have analyzed outcomes in critically ill pediatric oncologic patients with solid and hematologic malignancy alone. Reports suggest that the overall ICU mortality ranges from 9 to 15 percent (ventilated and nonventilated), higher (40 to 60 percent) in those requiring mechanical ventilation [109-111].

In pediatric patients, ICU mortality over time has improved but not improved as much as for adult cancer patients [112]. In general, HCT patients carry a higher mortality risk than oncology patients who have not undergone HCT [109,113]. Thus, outcomes in studies that include patients with HCT generally report high mortality rates. Underlying cancer diagnosis also influences outcomes, with hematologic malignancies, especially acute myeloid leukemia (AML), having a poorer prognosis than solid tumors [113,114]. Patients admitted with sepsis and those requiring invasive mechanical ventilation, inotropic support, or renal replacement therapy have the highest risk of mortality [109-118].

Best illustrating the mortality in pediatric populations is a meta-analysis of 31 studies published between 1981 and 2017 that encompassed 16,853 pediatric ICU (PICU) admissions which reported an overall PICU mortality was 27.8 percent [112]. Increased risk of mortality was associated with need for mechanical ventilation (odds ratio [OR] 18.49, 95% CI 13.79-24.78), inotropic support (OR 14.05, 95% CI 9.16-21.57), and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT; OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.31-8.04). The highest diagnosis-specific mortality was seen in patients admitted with sepsis at 46 percent.

A retrospective 11-year study of 553 pediatric patients with AML reported that compared to children without cancer, those with AML had a higher ICU mortality (19 versus 4 percent) [114]. Mortality did not exceed 40 percent in those with AML unless there were more than four organ failures.

A single-center retrospective study of 359 pediatric oncology patients (including a small number of HCT recipients) reported the overall ICU mortality at 17 percent. Higher mortality rates were observed in children with HCT compared to solid or hematologic malignancies (30 versus 12 percent) [109]. Six-month survival was 69 percent among non-HCT patients compared with 39 percent for HCT recipients.

A retrospective study of 200 pediatric oncology patients in Europe (including a small number of HCT recipients) admitted to the ICU had a PICU mortality of 9 percent [110]. Sixty-day mortality was 17.5 percent, with nearly half of the deaths occurring after terminal discharge from the PICU. The highest mortality rates were found in those admitted for respiratory failure (50 percent 60-day mortality), neurologic disease (33 percent 60-day mortality), and septic shock (31.8 percent 60-day mortality).

A retrospective review of 1927 critically ill pediatric oncology and HCT patients [111] also reported higher PICU mortality rates in those receiving CRRT when compared with the overall PICU mortality (54.5 percent versus 11 percent).

A prospective registry of critical deterioration events (CDEs) in 16 pediatric hematology/oncology centers in 10 Latin American countries reported on 553 CDEs (defined as need for transfer to the PICU or PICU interventions) [117]. CDEs were provided on the floor. In this resource-limited setting, CDEs had a mortality rate that was 29 percent, higher than what has been reported for PICU mortality in high-income countries, yet still reasonable.

In a global registry of 1747 pediatric cancer patients with coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) from 50 countries, 11 percent developed severe illness with 9 percent requiring care in the PICU and a mortality rate of 3.8 percent. In a similar registry of 1196 pediatric cancer patients in the United States, 9 percent of patients with hematologic malignancies required PICU care with a 3 percent mortality rate, while 6 percent of solid tumor patients required PICU care with a mortality rate of 7 percent. Both studies showed better outcomes than adult cancer patients with COVID-19 infection who had a reported mortality rate of 28 percent, though significantly worse mortality than the general pediatric population with a mortality rate <0.1 percent [118].

HCT recipients – While older studies reported high mortality rates (>75 percent) in pediatric HCT recipients admitted to the ICU, several subsequent studies reported higher survival with mortality rates ranging from 32 to 62 percent with the highest rates in those who are mechanically ventilated [41,53,119-122].

Small retrospective and prospective series have reported rates of survival following an ICU admission from 16 to 53 percent that appear to have improved over time [39,41,42,119-130]. Consistent risk factors include mechanical ventilation and acute kidney injury requiring renal replacement therapy as well as an underlying diagnosis of AML, and sepsis. As examples:

A retrospective study linking data from the Virtual PICU Systems (VPS) database and the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) database found 936 unique patients comprising 1532 PICU admissions [124]. PICU mortality was 17.4 percent, with 28.5 percent of patients ultimately dying. Mortality was increased in those with a need for advanced support. Mortality for invasive mechanical ventilation was 44 percent, CRRT 56 percent, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) 77.8 percent. PICU mortality was independently associated with higher illness severity on admission, moderate/severe pre-HCT renal disease, pre-HCT recipient cytomegalovirus (CMV) positivity, underlying diagnosis of AML, and ICU admission fewer than 100 days after HCT.

A multi-center retrospective study of 129 critically ill pediatric allogeneic HCT patients reported a PICU mortality of 38 percent, 42 percent for those requiring invasive mechanical ventilation [120]. One-year outcomes of these PICU survivors were then compared with a matched cohort of 387 allogeneic HCT patients who did not require ICU care. Survival; rate of chronic graft-versus-host disease; and renal, pulmonary, and cardiac function at one year post-HCT did not differ between the two groups.

A multicenter retrospective cohort study reported a 33 percent PICU survival rate for HCT patients placed on venovenous ECMO [131]. Reports such as these have led to consensus statements from diverse groups, such as the Pediatric Acute Lung Injury and Sepsis Investigators Network's HCT and Cancer Immunotherapy subgroup, the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization, the Pediatric Diseases Working Party of the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation, the supportive care committee of the Pediatric Transplantation & Cellular Therapy Consortium, and the PICU Oncology Kids in Europe Research group of the European Society of Paediatric and Neonatal Intensive Care. While acknowledging that HCT patients are high-risk ECMO patients, these groups advocate for careful and individualized consideration of HCT patients' ECMO candidacy rather than universally declining all HCT patients from ECMO consideration [132,133].

Predictors – Similar to other critically ill children, critically ill pediatric oncology patients with multiorgan failure, particularly those requiring mechanical ventilation, vasopressor support, and/or renal replacement therapy, have poor outcomes [38,121-124,126,129,130]. Several multicenter retrospective reviews of pediatric HCT recipients reported that receipt of vasopressor support and/or renal replacement therapy were predictors of lower six-month survival. Cancer-specific predictors include severe impairment of oxygenation, specific infections such as cytomegalovirus viremia and severe sepsis [110-112,116,121,124,125]. Several retrospective series have identified other potential factors that may influence outcome and deserve additional study. These include use of noninvasive ventilation, high frequency oscillatory ventilation (HFOV), and lung protective ventilation [126-128].

SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Indications for ICU admission – Among the cancers, leukemia and lymphoma are the most common hematologic cancers, and lung cancer is the most common solid tumor encountered in the intensive care unit (ICU). Common indications for ICU admission are respiratory failure often requiring mechanical ventilation, renal failure necessitating renal replacement therapy, and sepsis requiring vasopressor support. (See 'Indications for admission' above.)

Prognosis in adults – The prognosis of critically ill adult patients with cancer is best determined by the nature and number of organ failures, rather than by the stage of the underlying malignancy. Mortality rates approximate those of critically ill patients without cancer. (See 'Prognosis in adults' above.)

Special populations – Prognosis in critically ill adult patients with cancer varies with the population that is studied. The highest mortality rates are reported in patients who are mechanically ventilated for acute respiratory failure. General adult oncology patients and hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients in this setting have an estimated mortality rate of >40 percent and >50 percent, respectively. (See 'Special populations' above.)

Prognosticators – The major predictors of poor prognosis in critically ill adult patients with cancer including HCT recipients are respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (especially for acute respiratory distress syndrome), multiorgan failure (>2 organs), and vasopressor support (>4 hours). (See 'Predictors of prognosis' above.)

Prognosis discussion – Prognosis should be reassessed at frequent intervals with particular attention to the development of multiple organ dysfunction. We suggest early palliative and end-of-life discussions for critically ill adult patients with cancer, particularly those with a grim prognosis from their underlying malignancy or acute illness, those who do not progress toward recovery in the first several days of critical illness, and those for whom symptom palliation would improve the quality of life. (See 'Discussion of prognosis' above.)

Prognosis in children – In critically ill pediatric oncologic patients, reports suggest that the overall ICU mortality in those who were not mechanically ventilated ranges from 9 to 15 percent in those with solid and hematologic malignancy and from 32 to 62 percent in HCT recipients. Mortality is markedly higher in those requiring mechanical ventilation (40 to 60 percent) and sepsis (32 to 68 percent). Other risk factors for death include kidney injury requiring renal replacement therapy and underlying diagnosis of acute myeloid leukemia. (See 'Prognosis in children' above.)

ACKNOWLEDGMENT — The UpToDate editorial staff acknowledges John Hansen-Flaschen, MD, who contributed to earlier versions of this topic review.

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Topic 1604 Version 29.0

References

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